๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

SMU Mustangs

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
Preseason
WEEK 4 ยท 2026
The Week 4 job

Beat Missouri State and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

Your game

Missouri State at SMU
TBD
SAT SEP 26
TV TBA
playoff chanceNow23%Win24%Loss16%
Missouri State
Missouri State 5%SMU 95%
SMU

Other impactful games

the highlighted team is the result SMU wants
TBD
SAT SEP 26
TV TBA
Priority 1
Root for
Wake Forest
at
Louisville
Root for Wake Forest4.3-point title-game boost

ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; Wake Forest visits your schedule in week 11: keep them ranked.

47% if Wake Forest wins43% with the other result4.3-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Priority 2
Clemson
at
Root for
California
Root for California3.8-point title-game boost

ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings; California visits your schedule in week 8: keep them ranked.

47% if California wins43% with the other result3.8-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance
TBD
SAT SEP 26
TV TBA
Priority 3
Minnesota
at
Root for
Washington
Root for Washington1.4-point playoff boost

Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

23% if Washington wins22% with the other result1.4-point differenceSMU playoff chance
53 more games that don't move your needle
Oregon State at UTEP ยท MW+
Georgia Tech at Stanford ยท ESPN
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Liberty at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN
Navy at UAB ยท ESPN
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas ยท SECN+
Vanderbilt at Auburn
Ole Miss at Florida
Oklahoma at Georgia
Texas A&M at LSU
Missouri at Mississippi State
Texas at Tennessee
Arizona at Washington State ยท CBS
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Utah at Iowa State
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Central Michigan at Miami ยท The CW Network
Delaware at Virginia
Northwestern at Indiana ยท FOX
UCLA at Maryland
Iowa at Michigan
Nebraska at Michigan State
Illinois at Ohio State
Wisconsin at Penn State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Oregon at USC
Rice at Fresno State ยท The CW Network
San Diego State at Toledo
Troy at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at UTSA
Boise State at Western Michigan
UConn at Miami (OH)
Army at Temple ยท ESPN
Louisiana at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
South Florida at Bowling Green
Air Force at Nevada
Hawai'i at Wyoming ยท The CW Network
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
UNLV at Akron
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
New Mexico at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
James Madison at Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Your rooting list:SMU, then Wake Forest, California, Washington.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.