SMU Mustangs

0–0 · 0–0 ACC

Preseason

WEEK 11 · 2026

The Week 11 job

Beat Wake Forest and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

ACC title-game chanceNow44%Win49%Loss19%

Wake Forest

Wake Forest 17%SMU 83%

SMU

By importanceWatch plan

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 1

Root for

Duke

at

Miami

Root for Duke4.7-point playoff boost

Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

27% if Duke wins22% with the other result4.7-point differenceSMU playoff chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 2

Louisville

at

Root for

North Carolina

Root for North Carolina3.3-point title-game boost

ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings.

47% if North Carolina wins43% with the other result3.3-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

…

…

ESPN

Priority 3

Root for

Florida State

at

Pittsburgh

Root for Florida State3.1-point title-game boost

ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings.

46% if Florida State wins43% with the other result3.1-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 4

Root for

Syracuse

at

NC State

Root for Syracuse2.8-point title-game boost

ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings.

47% if Syracuse wins44% with the other result2.8-point differenceSMU ACC title-game chance

TBD

SAT NOV 14

TV TBA

Priority 5

Root for

Georgia Tech

at

Clemson

Root for Georgia Tech1.3-point playoff boost

Georgia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

24% if Georgia Tech wins23% with the other result1.3-point differenceSMU playoff chance

59 more games that don't move your needle

Western Michigan at Akron

Kent State at Bowling Green

Ohio at Miami (OH)

Buffalo at Ball State

Massachusetts at Toledo

Memphis at South Florida

Louisiana at UL Monroe

Arizona State at UCF

Baylor at BYU

Cincinnati at Iowa State

Houston at Colorado · ESPN

Kansas at West Virginia

Kansas State at TCU

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

Utah at Arizona

South Carolina at Arkansas

Missouri at Georgia

Florida at Kentucky

Texas at LSU

Auburn at Mississippi State

Ole Miss at Oklahoma

Tennessee at Texas A&M

Alabama at Vanderbilt

California at Virginia

Stanford at Virginia Tech

USC at Indiana

Purdue at Iowa

Wisconsin at Maryland

Washington at Michigan State

Northwestern at Ohio State

Michigan at Oregon

Minnesota at Penn State

Nebraska at Rutgers

Illinois at UCLA · FOX

Oregon State at Boise State · USA Network

Utah State at San Diego State · USA Network

Fresno State at Texas State · The CW Network

Colorado State at Washington State · CBSSN

James Madison at UConn · CBSSN

East Carolina at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at Tulsa

North Texas at UTSA

Tulane at Rice

UAB at Temple

Nevada at Northern Illinois · MW+

San José State at Air Force · CBSSN

UNLV at New Mexico · The CW Network

Wyoming at UTEP

App State at Marshall

Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina

Georgia Southern at Georgia State

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State at Sam Houston

New Mexico State at Missouri State

Florida International at Delaware

Middle Tennessee at Liberty · CBSSN

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech

Troy at South Alabama

Boston College at Notre Dame · NBC

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.