The Mid-American race
12 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 12 · 2026
Week 12 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 12.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 12; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toledo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.8–1.2 | 60% | 41% | 1% |
Ohio | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–1.6 | 49% | 27% | <1% |
Miami (OH) | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.5–2.5 | 35% | 13% | 0% |
Western Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–2.8 | 28% | 11% | 0% |
Buffalo | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–3.6 | 11% | 3% | 0% |
Central Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.4–3.6 | 7% | 2% | 0% |
Eastern Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.3–3.7 | 4% | 1% | 0% |
Bowling Green | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.5–3.5 | 4% | 1% | 0% |
Akron | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–5.1 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
Ball State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Kent State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Massachusetts | 0–0 | 0–0 | 0.8–6.2 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.











