๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Old Dominion Monarchs

4โ€“2 ยท 1โ€“1 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Old Dominion lost to James Madison. Playoff odds moved from 1% to 0%.

Your game

Old Dominion at James Madison
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Sun Belt title-game chanceEntering13%Win46%Loss<1%
Old Dominion
Old Dominion 28%James Madison 72%
James Madison
Final ยท Old Dominion 27โ€“63 James MadisonWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Old Dominion wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Texas State
at
Marshall
Final ยท Texas State 37โ€“40 MarshallWent the other way โœ—
Projected 7.0-point title-game boost

Marshall won instead, so Old Dominion did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Texas State won11% with the other result7-point differenceOld Dominion Sun Belt title-game chance
57 other games had little impact
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Old Dominion, then Texas State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.