Fresno State Bulldogs
5–1 · 2–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
27%
MW title game
10%
Win the MW
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → 0% · title-game odds 27% → 4%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Fresno State's pathYour game
…
… · CBSSN
Fresno State at Colorado State
Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 32%; lose and they fall to 12%.
Final · Fresno State 21–49 Colorado StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · CBSSN
Air Force at UNLV
Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Air Force 48–51 UNLVWent the other way ✗
Root for Air Force+10.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · FS1
New Mexico at Boise State
Mountain West race: Boise State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Boise State in week 10.
Final · New Mexico 25–41 Boise StateWent the other way ✗
Root for New Mexico+9.7 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBSSN
San Diego State at Nevada
Mountain West race: San Diego State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Nevada — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play San Diego State in week 9.
Final · San Diego State 44–10 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+3.1 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
San José State at Wyoming
Mountain West race: San José State losing helps your spot in the standings; Wyoming visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · San José State 28–35 WyomingWish granted ✓
Root for Wyoming+2.5 pp title-game odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M · ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7).