๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

South Alabama Jaguars

1โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

South Alabama lost to Tulane. Playoff odds moved from 4% to 4%.

Your game

Tulane at South Alabama
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playoff chanceEntering4%Win6%Loss3%
Tulane
Tulane 51%South Alabama 49%
South Alabama
Final ยท Tulane 33โ€“31 South AlabamaWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result South Alabama wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
UL Monroe
at
Alabama
Final ยท UL Monroe 0โ€“73 AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so South Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection6% if UL Monroe won4% with the other result1.4-point differenceSouth Alabama playoff chance
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Impact 2
Texas State
at
Rooted for
UTSA
Final ยท Texas State 43โ€“36 UTSAWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

Texas State won instead, so South Alabama did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if UTSA won29% with the other result2.1-point differenceSouth Alabama Sun Belt title-game chance
47 other games had little impact
James Madison at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Kennesaw State at Indiana ยท FS1
Iowa at Iowa State ยท FOX
Illinois at Duke ยท ESPN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Baylor at SMU ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Ole Miss at Kentucky ยท ABC
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
UAB at Navy ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin ยท FS1
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Mississippi State ยท ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Georgia Southern at USC ยท FS1
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:South Alabama, then UL Monroe, UTSA.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.