Fresno State Bulldogs

8–4 · 5–3 MOUNTAIN WEST

In the books

WEEK 16 · 2025

MW title game

Win the MW

Make the playoff

First-round bye

Fresno State is out of the playoff race.

This week is in the books — the rundown below shows how each wish landed.

Playoff odds by week

If Fresno State wins out: 0% to win the MW, 0% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Fresno State's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Fresno State's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Army at Navy · CBS

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16).