๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Tulane Green Wave

6โ€“1 ยท 3โ€“0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 10 ยท 2025
The Week 10 recap

Tulane lost to UTSA. Playoff odds moved from 3% to <1%.

Your game

Tulane at UTSA
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American title-game chanceEntering31%Win46%Loss13%
Tulane
Tulane 55%UTSA 45%
UTSA
Final ยท Tulane 26โ€“48 UTSAWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Tulane wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Navy
at
North Texas
Final ยท Navy 17โ€“31 North TexasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 11.0-point title-game boost

North Texas won instead, so Tulane did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Navy won29% with the other result11-point differenceTulane American title-game chance
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Impact 2
Memphis
at
Rooted for
Rice
Final ยท Memphis 38โ€“14 RiceWent the other way โœ—
Projected 7.8-point title-game boost

Memphis won instead, so Tulane did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection38% if Rice won31% with the other result7.8-point differenceTulane American title-game chance
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Impact 3
East Carolina
at
Rooted for
Temple
Final ยท East Carolina 45โ€“14 TempleWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

East Carolina won instead, so Tulane did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Temple won30% with the other result2.6-point differenceTulane American title-game chance
48 other games had little impact
UTEP at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State ยท ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas ยท ABC
Penn State at Ohio State ยท FOX
Rutgers at Illinois ยท NBC
Duke at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Miami at SMU ยท ESPN
UCF at Baylor ยท ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston ยท FS1
UAB at UConn ยท CBSSN
Army at Air Force ยท CBS
Buffalo at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State ยท TNT
Louisville at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida ยท ABC
Indiana at Maryland ยท CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota ยท BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College ยท ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State ยท FOX
Delaware at Liberty ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State ยท FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Virginia at California ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Purdue at Michigan ยท BTN
Arizona at Colorado ยท FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee ยท ABC
USC at Nebraska ยท NBC
Washington State at Oregon State ยท CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State ยท ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy ยท ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at San Josรฉ State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Tulane, then Navy, Rice, Temple.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.