Michigan State Spartans

3–5 · 0–5 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 10 · 2025

The Week 10 recap

Michigan State lost to Minnesota. Playoff odds moved from 0% to 0%.

Michigan State is out of the playoff race.

Your game

Michigan State at Minnesota

…

BTN

Game forecast

Michigan State

Michigan State 22%Minnesota 78%

Minnesota

Final · Michigan State 20–23 MinnesotaWent the other way ✗

Nothing else moves the path

the rest is background football

Nothing else meaningfully changes Michigan State's path. Watch the rest because it is football.

51 other games had little impact

UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU

James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2

Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2

Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN

Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Tulane at UTSA · ESPN

Memphis at Rice · ESPN2

North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN

Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN

Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC

Penn State at Ohio State · FOX

Rutgers at Illinois · NBC

Duke at Clemson · ACC Network

Miami at SMU · ESPN

UCF at Baylor · ESPNU

West Virginia at Houston · FS1

UAB at UConn · CBSSN

Army at Air Force · CBS

Navy at North Texas · ESPN2

Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+

Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT

East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+

Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network

New Mexico at UNLV

Georgia at Florida · ABC

Indiana at Maryland · CBS

Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network

Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN

Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX

Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN

New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+

Fresno State at Boise State · FS1

Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+

Virginia at California · ESPN2

Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network

Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+

Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU

South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN

Purdue at Michigan · BTN

Arizona at Colorado · FS1

Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN

Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network

Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC

USC at Nebraska · NBC

Washington State at Oregon State · CBS

Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network

Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2

Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU

Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN

Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

The rooting list was:Michigan State. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.