Kennesaw State Owls

5–2 · 3–0 CONFERENCE USA

In the books

WEEK 10 · 2025

The Week 10 recap

Kennesaw State beat UTEP. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

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ESPNU

CUSA title-game chanceEntering37%Win43%Loss16%

UTEP

UTEP 23%Kennesaw State 77%

Kennesaw State

Final · UTEP 20–33 Kennesaw StateWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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ESPN+

Impact 1

Rooted for

New Mexico State

at

Western Kentucky

Final · New Mexico State 16–35 Western KentuckyWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.4-point title-game boost

Western Kentucky won instead, so Kennesaw State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if New Mexico State won36% with the other result4.4-point differenceKennesaw State CUSA title-game chance

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ESPN2

Impact 2

Jacksonville State

at

Rooted for

Middle Tennessee

Final · Jacksonville State 24–21 Middle TennesseeWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

Jacksonville State won instead, so Kennesaw State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Middle Tennessee won37% with the other result3.8-point differenceKennesaw State CUSA title-game chance

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CBSSN

Impact 3

Delaware

at

Rooted for

Liberty

Final · Delaware 30–59 LibertyWish granted ✓

Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

Delaware lost, improving Kennesaw State's place in the Conference USA standings.

Entering-week projection39% if Liberty won35% with the other result3.3-point differenceKennesaw State CUSA title-game chance

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CBSSN

Impact 4

Rooted for

Florida International

at

Missouri State

Final · Florida International 21–28 Missouri StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.1-point title-game boost

Missouri State won instead, so Kennesaw State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Florida International won36% with the other result3.1-point differenceKennesaw State CUSA title-game chance

47 other games had little impact

James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2

Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Tulane at UTSA · ESPN

Memphis at Rice · ESPN2

North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN

Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN

Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC

Penn State at Ohio State · FOX

Rutgers at Illinois · NBC

Duke at Clemson · ACC Network

Miami at SMU · ESPN

UCF at Baylor · ESPNU

West Virginia at Houston · FS1

UAB at UConn · CBSSN

Army at Air Force · CBS

Navy at North Texas · ESPN2

Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+

Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT

East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+

Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network

New Mexico at UNLV

Georgia at Florida · ABC

Indiana at Maryland · CBS

Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN

Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network

Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN

Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX

Fresno State at Boise State · FS1

Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+

Virginia at California · ESPN2

Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network

Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+

Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU

South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN

Purdue at Michigan · BTN

Arizona at Colorado · FS1

Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN

Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network

Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC

USC at Nebraska · NBC

Washington State at Oregon State · CBS

Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network

Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2

Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU

Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN

Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.