Delaware Blue Hens

4–3 · 2–2 CONFERENCE USA

In the books

WEEK 10 · 2025

The Week 10 recap

Delaware lost to Liberty. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

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CBSSN

CUSA title-game chanceEntering10%Win23%Loss<1%

Delaware

Delaware 44%Liberty 56%

Liberty

Final · Delaware 30–59 LibertyWent the other way ✗

By impactBy kickoff

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ESPN+

Impact 1

Rooted for

New Mexico State

at

Western Kentucky

Final · New Mexico State 16–35 Western KentuckyWent the other way ✗

Projected 6.2-point title-game boost

Western Kentucky won instead, so Delaware did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if New Mexico State won9% with the other result6.2-point differenceDelaware CUSA title-game chance

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ESPNU

Impact 2

Rooted for

UTEP

at

Kennesaw State

Final · UTEP 20–33 Kennesaw StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

Kennesaw State won instead, so Delaware did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if UTEP won9% with the other result3.5-point differenceDelaware CUSA title-game chance

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ESPN2

Impact 3

Jacksonville State

at

Rooted for

Middle Tennessee

Final · Jacksonville State 24–21 Middle TennesseeWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

Jacksonville State won instead, so Delaware did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Middle Tennessee won10% with the other result3.2-point differenceDelaware CUSA title-game chance

48 other games had little impact

James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2

Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN

Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2

Tulane at UTSA · ESPN

Memphis at Rice · ESPN2

North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN

Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN

Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC

Penn State at Ohio State · FOX

Rutgers at Illinois · NBC

Duke at Clemson · ACC Network

Miami at SMU · ESPN

UCF at Baylor · ESPNU

West Virginia at Houston · FS1

UAB at UConn · CBSSN

Army at Air Force · CBS

Navy at North Texas · ESPN2

Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+

Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT

East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+

Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network

New Mexico at UNLV

Georgia at Florida · ABC

Indiana at Maryland · CBS

Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN

Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network

Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN

Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX

Fresno State at Boise State · FS1

Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+

Virginia at California · ESPN2

Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network

Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+

Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU

South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN

Purdue at Michigan · BTN

Arizona at Colorado · FS1

Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN

Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network

Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC

USC at Nebraska · NBC

Washington State at Oregon State · CBS

Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network

Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2

Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU

Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN

Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.