๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#4Clemson Tigers

0โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 1 ยท 2025
The Week 1 recap

Clemson lost to LSU. Playoff odds moved from 39% to 28%.

Your game

LSU at Clemson
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playoff chanceEntering39%Win45%Loss31%
LSU
LSU 44%Clemson 56%
Clemson
Final ยท LSU 17โ€“10 ClemsonWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Clemson wanted
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Impact 1
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Alabama 17โ€“31 Florida StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.1-point playoff boost

Florida State won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 11 game against Clemson.

Entering-week projection40% if Florida State won38% with the other result2.1-point differenceClemson playoff chance
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Impact 2
TCU
at
Rooted for
North Carolina
Final ยท TCU 48โ€“14 North CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

TCU won instead, so Clemson did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if North Carolina won38% with the other result1.7-point differenceClemson playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Georgia Tech
at
Colorado
Final ยท Georgia Tech 27โ€“20 ColoradoWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Georgia Tech won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 3 game against Clemson.

Entering-week projection39% if Georgia Tech won38% with the other result1.4-point differenceClemson playoff chance
44 other games had little impact
Iowa State at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Fresno State at Kansas ยท FOX
Sam Houston at Western Kentucky ยท CBSSN
Stanford at Hawai'i ยท CBS
Boise State at South Florida ยท ESPN
Ohio at Rutgers ยท BTN
East Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Wyoming at Akron ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Minnesota ยท FS1
Nebraska at Cincinnati ยท ESPN
Miami (OH) at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Western Michigan at Michigan State ยท FS1
Kennesaw State at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
App State at Charlotte ยท ESPNU
Auburn at Baylor ยท FOX
UNLV at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Central Michigan at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Mississippi State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN
Syracuse at Tennessee ยท ABC
Texas at Ohio State ยท FOX
Florida Atlantic at Maryland ยท BTN
Ball State at Purdue ยท BTN
Northwestern at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Old Dominion at Indiana ยท FS1
Marshall at Georgia ยท ESPN
Nevada at Penn State ยท CBS
Temple at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Virginia ยท ACC Network
UTSA at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Missouri State at USC ยท BTN
New Mexico at Michigan ยท NBC
UTEP at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Georgia State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Rice at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Fresno State ยท FS1
California at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at Arizona ยท TNT
Utah at UCLA ยท FOX
Colorado State at Washington ยท BTN
Virginia Tech at South Carolina ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Miami ยท ABC
The rooting list was:Clemson, then Florida State, North Carolina, Georgia Tech.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 1). How the model works.