Tulane Green Wave

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Way too early

WEEK 6 · 2026

19%

American title game

Win the American

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 11.9

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat Army.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6

If Tulane wins out: 53% to win the American, 23% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Tulane's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Tulane at Army

Your game. Beat Army and your playoff odds are 3%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.

Tulane 54%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Charlotte at North Texas

American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; Charlotte visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

North Texas 97%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Rice at East Carolina

American Athletic race: East Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; Rice visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

East Carolina 93%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Tulsa at Navy

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; Tulsa visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Navy 91%

TBD

THU OCT 8

South Florida at UTSA

American Athletic race: South Florida losing helps your spot in the standings; UTSA visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

South Florida 67%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

UAB at Memphis

American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Memphis in week 7.

Memphis 91%

50 more games that don't move your needle

Southern Miss at Troy

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State

New Mexico State at Florida International

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Sam Houston at Liberty

Missouri State at Western Kentucky

Florida State at Louisville

Washington State at Utah State

Georgia at Alabama

Tennessee at Arkansas

South Carolina at Florida

LSU at Kentucky

Texas A&M at Missouri

Texas at Oklahoma

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Hawai'i at Arizona State

Arizona at West Virginia

UCF at Oklahoma State

Houston at Kansas State

Iowa State at BYU

Kansas at Utah

Duke at Georgia Tech

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Syracuse at Virginia

Virginia Tech at California

Wake Forest at NC State

Illinois at Michigan State

Indiana at Nebraska

Ball State at Northwestern

Maryland at Ohio State

UCLA at Oregon

USC at Penn State

Minnesota at Purdue

Iowa at Washington

Boise State at Fresno State

San Diego State at Oregon State

UConn at Temple

Air Force at Northern Illinois

Nevada at UTEP

Wyoming at San José State

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Buffalo at Toledo

Central Michigan at Ohio

Kent State at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Old Dominion at App State

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

James Madison at Georgia Southern

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Stanford at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.