Iowa Hawkeyes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN

Way too early

WEEK 6 · 2026

17%

Big Ten title game

Win the Big Ten

46%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 9.3

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat Washington.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6

If Iowa wins out: 35% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Iowa's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Iowa at Washington

Your game. Beat Washington and your playoff odds are 62%; lose and they drop to 26%.

Iowa 55%

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

…

Stanford at Notre Dame

Notre Dame winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Notre Dame 99%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Kansas at Utah

Kansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 91%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

UCLA at Oregon

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 98%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Indiana at Nebraska

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; Nebraska visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Indiana 92%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Georgia at Alabama

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 58%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Texas at Oklahoma

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 58%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Texas A&M at Missouri

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 53%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Tennessee at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Tennessee 66%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

USC at Penn State

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 66%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

South Carolina at Florida

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

South Carolina 52%

45 more games that don't move your needle

Ball State at Northwestern

Illinois at Michigan State

Southern Miss at Troy

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State

New Mexico State at Florida International

South Florida at UTSA

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Sam Houston at Liberty

Missouri State at Western Kentucky

Florida State at Louisville

Washington State at Utah State

LSU at Kentucky

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Hawai'i at Arizona State

Arizona at West Virginia

UCF at Oklahoma State

Houston at Kansas State

Iowa State at BYU

Duke at Georgia Tech

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Syracuse at Virginia

Virginia Tech at California

Wake Forest at NC State

Maryland at Ohio State

Minnesota at Purdue

Boise State at Fresno State

San Diego State at Oregon State

UConn at Temple

Tulane at Army

Charlotte at North Texas

Rice at East Carolina

UAB at Memphis

Tulsa at Navy

Air Force at Northern Illinois

Nevada at UTEP

Wyoming at San José State

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Buffalo at Toledo

Central Michigan at Ohio

Kent State at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Old Dominion at App State

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

James Madison at Georgia Southern

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.