Boise State Broncos
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 6 · 2026
62%
MW title game
38%
Win the MW
2%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat Fresno State.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Boise State's pathYour game
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Boise State at Fresno State
Your game. Beat Fresno State and your playoff odds are 3%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Boise State 57%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 10
James Madison at Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
James Madison 93%
TBD
SAT OCT 10
Charlotte at North Texas
Charlotte winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
North Texas 97%
53 more games that don't move your needle
Southern Miss at Troy
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Florida International
South Florida at UTSA
South Alabama at Arkansas State
Sam Houston at Liberty
Missouri State at Western Kentucky
Florida State at Louisville
Washington State at Utah State
Georgia at Alabama
Tennessee at Arkansas
South Carolina at Florida
LSU at Kentucky
Texas A&M at Missouri
Texas at Oklahoma
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt
Hawai'i at Arizona State
Arizona at West Virginia
UCF at Oklahoma State
Houston at Kansas State
Iowa State at BYU
Kansas at Utah
Duke at Georgia Tech
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Syracuse at Virginia
Virginia Tech at California
Wake Forest at NC State
Illinois at Michigan State
Indiana at Nebraska
Ball State at Northwestern
Maryland at Ohio State
UCLA at Oregon
USC at Penn State
Minnesota at Purdue
Iowa at Washington
San Diego State at Oregon State
UConn at Temple
Tulane at Army
Rice at East Carolina
UAB at Memphis
Tulsa at Navy
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Nevada at UTEP
Wyoming at San José State
Eastern Michigan at Akron
Buffalo at Toledo
Central Michigan at Ohio
Kent State at Western Michigan
Miami (OH) at Massachusetts
Old Dominion at App State
Coastal Carolina at Marshall
Louisiana at Louisiana Tech
Stanford at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.