Georgia Bulldogs

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 5 · 2026

53%

SEC title game

35%

Win the SEC

97%

Make the playoff

27%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.8

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-5 job: beat Vanderbilt.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5

If Georgia wins out: 71% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Georgia's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Vanderbilt at Georgia

Your game. Beat Vanderbilt and your playoff odds are 99%; lose and they drop to 92%.

Georgia 77%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Texas Tech at Colorado

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Colorado winning protects it.

Texas Tech 96%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Indiana at Rutgers

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Rutgers winning protects it.

Indiana 95%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Ohio State at Iowa

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Iowa winning protects it.

Ohio State 67%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Arkansas at Texas A&M

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas A&M 86%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Auburn at Tennessee

SEC race: Tennessee losing helps your spot in the standings; Auburn visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

Tennessee 72%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Alabama at Mississippi State

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Alabama in week 6.

Alabama 83%

48 more games that don't move your needle

North Texas at Tulsa

Western Kentucky at New Mexico State

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech

Penn State at Northwestern

Liberty at Delaware

Florida at Missouri

Kentucky at South Carolina

Middle Tennessee at Kansas

Baylor at Arizona State

BYU at TCU

UCF at Houston

Cincinnati at Arizona

West Virginia at Iowa State

Boston College at SMU

California at UNLV

Louisville at NC State

Miami at Clemson

Notre Dame at North Carolina

Stanford at Wake Forest

Syracuse at UConn

Virginia at Florida State

Purdue at Illinois

Michigan at Minnesota

Maryland at Nebraska

Washington at USC

Michigan State at Wisconsin

Utah State at Boise State

Oregon State at Colorado State

Texas State at San Diego State

Fresno State at Washington State

Memphis at Charlotte

UTSA at Rice

Navy at Air Force

Temple at South Florida

San José State at Hawai'i

UTEP at New Mexico

Akron at Central Michigan

Toledo at Ball State

Western Michigan at Buffalo

Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts

Ohio at Kent State

Bowling Green at Miami (OH)

Army at Louisiana Tech

Arkansas State at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina

Old Dominion at Georgia State

Marshall at James Madison

UL Monroe at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.