UTSA Roadrunners

0–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Preseason

WEEK 4 · 2026

The Week 4 job

Beat Colorado State and avoid turning a likely win into a season problem.

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

American title-game chanceNow31%Win32%Loss24%

Colorado State

Colorado State 10%UTSA 90%

UTSA

By importanceWatch plan

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ESPN

Priority 1

Army

at

Root for

Temple

Root for Temple3.0-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: Army losing helps your spot in the standings.

34% if Temple wins31% with the other result3-point differenceUTSA American title-game chance

…

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ESPN

Priority 2

Navy

at

Root for

UAB

Root for UAB2.0-point title-game boost

American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; UAB visits your schedule in week 12: keep them ranked.

33% if UAB wins31% with the other result2-point differenceUTSA American title-game chance

TBD

SAT SEP 26

TV TBA

Priority 3

James Madison

at

Root for

Old Dominion

Root for Old Dominion1.3-point playoff boost

Old Dominion winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

8% if Old Dominion wins7% with the other result1.3-point differenceUTSA playoff chance

53 more games that don't move your needle

Southern Miss at Tulane

Liberty at Coastal Carolina · ESPN

Clemson at California · ESPN

South Carolina at Alabama

Tulsa at Arkansas · SECN+

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Ole Miss at Florida

Oklahoma at Georgia

Texas A&M at LSU

Missouri at Mississippi State

Texas at Tennessee

Arizona at Washington State · CBS

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Houston at Georgia Southern

Colorado at Baylor

Kansas State at Cincinnati

TCU at UCF

Utah at Iowa State

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Central Michigan at Miami · The CW Network

Delaware at Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford · ESPN

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Wake Forest at Louisville

Northwestern at Indiana · FOX

UCLA at Maryland

Iowa at Michigan

Nebraska at Michigan State

Illinois at Ohio State

Wisconsin at Penn State

Notre Dame at Purdue

Oregon at USC

Minnesota at Washington

Rice at Fresno State · The CW Network

San Diego State at Toledo

Troy at Utah State · CBSSN

Oregon State at UTEP · MW+

Boise State at Western Michigan

UConn at Miami (OH)

Louisiana at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

South Florida at Bowling Green

Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming · The CW Network

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

App State at NC State

South Alabama at Kentucky · SEC Network

New Mexico at New Mexico State · CBSSN

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State · ESPN+

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with preseason ratings projected from last season. How the model works.