Ole Miss Rebels

0–0 · 0–0 SEC

Way too early

WEEK 4 · 2026

30%

SEC title game

16%

Win the SEC

62%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 8.3

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-4 job: beat Florida.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4

If Ole Miss wins out: 60% to win the SEC, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Ole Miss's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Ole Miss at Florida

Your game. Beat Florida and your playoff odds are 68%; lose and they drop to 40%.

Ole Miss 79%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Utah at Iowa State

Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 76%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Iowa at Michigan

Michigan winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 54%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Wisconsin at Penn State

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 92%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Vanderbilt at Auburn

Auburn visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Vanderbilt 65%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Oklahoma at Georgia

Georgia visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Georgia 81%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Texas at Tennessee

You still play Texas in week 8.

Texas 52%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Texas A&M at LSU

SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas A&M 62%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Louisiana at Charlotte

Louisiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Louisiana 76%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Wake Forest at Louisville

Wake Forest winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Louisville 81%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

Oregon at USC

Oregon winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oregon 63%

TBD

SAT SEP 26

South Carolina at Alabama

SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings.

Alabama 80%

45 more games that don't move your needle

Missouri at Mississippi State

Illinois at Ohio State

Liberty at Coastal Carolina

Clemson at California

Navy at UAB

Tulsa at Arkansas

Arizona at Washington State

Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Houston at Georgia Southern

Colorado at Baylor

Kansas State at Cincinnati

TCU at UCF

Oklahoma State at West Virginia

Central Michigan at Miami

Delaware at Virginia

Georgia Tech at Stanford

Missouri State at SMU

Virginia Tech at Boston College

Northwestern at Indiana

UCLA at Maryland

Nebraska at Michigan State

Notre Dame at Purdue

Minnesota at Washington

Rice at Fresno State

San Diego State at Toledo

Troy at Utah State

Oregon State at UTEP

Colorado State at UTSA

Boise State at Western Michigan

UConn at Miami (OH)

Army at Temple

Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe

Southern Miss at Tulane

South Florida at Bowling Green

Air Force at Nevada

Hawai'i at Wyoming

Northern Illinois at Georgia State

UNLV at Akron

App State at NC State

South Alabama at Kentucky

New Mexico at New Mexico State

Ball State at Kent State

Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

James Madison at Old Dominion

Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.