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Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

00 · 00 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 4 · 2026
37%
MW title game
16%
Win the MW
0%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
Hawai'i is out of the playoff race.
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-4 job: beat Wyoming.
Playoff odds by week

If Hawai'i wins out: 53% to win the MW, 0% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Hawai'i's path
Your game
TBD
SAT SEP 26
Hawai'i at Wyoming

Your game. Win and your Mountain West title-game odds are 49%; lose and they fall to 19%.

Hawai'i 59%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 26
New Mexico at New Mexico State

Mountain West race: New Mexico losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play New Mexico in week 7.

New Mexico 76%
TBD
SAT SEP 26
UNLV at Akron

Mountain West race: UNLV losing helps your spot in the standings.

UNLV 89%
54 more games that don't move your needle
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
Liberty at Coastal Carolina
Clemson at California
Navy at UAB
South Carolina at Alabama
Tulsa at Arkansas
Vanderbilt at Auburn
Ole Miss at Florida
Oklahoma at Georgia
Texas A&M at LSU
Missouri at Mississippi State
Texas at Tennessee
Arizona at Washington State
Sam Houston at Texas Tech
Houston at Georgia Southern
Colorado at Baylor
Kansas State at Cincinnati
TCU at UCF
Utah at Iowa State
Oklahoma State at West Virginia
Central Michigan at Miami
Delaware at Virginia
Georgia Tech at Stanford
Missouri State at SMU
Virginia Tech at Boston College
Wake Forest at Louisville
Northwestern at Indiana
UCLA at Maryland
Iowa at Michigan
Nebraska at Michigan State
Illinois at Ohio State
Wisconsin at Penn State
Notre Dame at Purdue
Oregon at USC
Minnesota at Washington
Rice at Fresno State
San Diego State at Toledo
Troy at Utah State
Oregon State at UTEP
Colorado State at UTSA
Boise State at Western Michigan
UConn at Miami (OH)
Army at Temple
Louisiana at Charlotte
Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe
Southern Miss at Tulane
South Florida at Bowling Green
Air Force at Nevada
App State at NC State
South Alabama at Kentucky
Ball State at Kent State
Kennesaw State at Arkansas State
James Madison at Old Dominion
Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.