UNLV Rebels
0–0 · 0–0 MOUNTAIN WEST
Way too early
WEEK 14 · 2026
71%
MW title game
49%
Win the MW
2%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.9
Odds shown as of week 1 — precise rooting leverage exists only once the games in between are played.
If UNLV wins out: 79% to win the MW, 14% to make the playoff.
Championship week
matchups are decided by the standingsMountain West Championship GameFri/Sat, Dec 4–5 · Campus site, higher seed hosts
UNLVvsNew MexicoYou're in this one25%
UNLVvsHawai'iYou're in this one20%
UNLVvsAir ForceYou're in this one9%
New MexicovsHawai'i8%
UNLVvsWyomingYou're in this one6%
Win it and you're in: the five highest-ranked conference champions get automatic playoff bids. UNLV plays in this game in 71% of the way-too-early sims.
The matchup gets scheduled once the regular season decides it — this page becomes the real game preview automatically. Week 14 kickoff windows and TV land with it.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.