Virginia Cavaliers
0–0 · 0–0 ACC
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
9%
ACC title game
3%
Win the ACC
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat NC State.
If Virginia wins out: 33% to win the ACC, 22% to make the playoff.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Virginia's pathYour game
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… · ESPN
NC State at Virginia
Your game. Beat NC State and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Virginia 61%
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
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… · ESPN
SMU at Florida State
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida State visits your schedule in week 5 — keep them ranked.
SMU 73%
Root for Florida State+2.9 pp title-game odds
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… · ESPN
Miami at Stanford
ACC race: Miami losing helps your spot in the standings.
Miami 92%
Root for Stanford+2.5 pp title-game odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Ball State at Ohio State
Hawai'i at Stanford
Memphis at UNLV
San José State at USC
New Mexico State at Florida State
North Carolina at TCU · ESPN
Akron at Wake Forest
Massachusetts at Rutgers
Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Toledo at Michigan State
Fresno State at USC
San José State at Eastern Michigan
Florida Atlantic at Florida
UL Monroe at Mississippi State
UTEP at Oklahoma
Kent State at South Carolina
Texas State at Texas
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Oklahoma State at Tulsa
Boston College at Cincinnati
Oregon State at Houston
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Tulane at Duke
UCLA at California
UAB at Illinois
North Texas at Indiana
Northern Illinois at Iowa
Western Michigan at Michigan
Ohio at Nebraska
Boise State at Oregon
Marshall at Penn State
Washington State at Washington
Wyoming at Colorado State
Arkansas State at Memphis
Florida International at South Florida
Western Kentucky at Nevada
UNLV at Hawai'i
Central Michigan at New Mexico
Liberty at James Madison
Sam Houston at Troy
East Carolina at Alabama · ABC
Baylor at Auburn · ABC
Clemson at LSU · ABC
Louisville at Ole Miss · ABC
Notre Dame at Wisconsin
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.