Miami Hurricanes

0–0 · 0–0 ACC

Way too early

WEEK 1 · 2026

68%

ACC title game

47%

Win the ACC

69%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 7.9

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-1 job: beat Stanford.

If Miami wins out: 74% to win the ACC, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path

Your game

…

… · ESPN

Miami at Stanford

Your game. Beat Stanford and your playoff odds are 71%; lose and they drop to 41%.

Miami 92%

Just win

Big swingsthese move your odds the most

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… · ESPN

SMU at Florida State

ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; Florida State visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

SMU 73%

Root for Florida State+8.3 pp title-game odds

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

FRI SEP 4

Fresno State at USC

Fresno State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 89%

Root for Fresno State+2.4 pp playoff odds

TBD

SAT SEP 5

Texas State at Texas

Texas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 87%

Root for Texas State+1.9 pp playoff odds

TBD

SAT SEP 5

Oregon State at Houston

Houston winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Houston 88%

Root for Houston+1.7 pp playoff odds

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… · ABC

East Carolina at Alabama

East Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 87%

Root for East Carolina+1.7 pp playoff odds

…

… · ABC

Louisville at Ole Miss

Louisville winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 73%

Root for Louisville+1.7 pp playoff odds

42 more games that don't move your needle

Clemson at LSU · ABC

NC State at Virginia · ESPN

Hawai'i at Stanford

Memphis at UNLV

San José State at USC

New Mexico State at Florida State

North Carolina at TCU · ESPN

Akron at Wake Forest

Massachusetts at Rutgers

Colorado at Georgia Tech · ESPN

Toledo at Michigan State

San José State at Eastern Michigan

Florida Atlantic at Florida

UL Monroe at Mississippi State

UTEP at Oklahoma

Kent State at South Carolina

Missouri State at Texas A&M

Oklahoma State at Tulsa

Boston College at Cincinnati

Coastal Carolina at West Virginia

Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh

Tulane at Duke

UCLA at California

UAB at Illinois

North Texas at Indiana

Northern Illinois at Iowa

Western Michigan at Michigan

Ohio at Nebraska

Ball State at Ohio State

Boise State at Oregon

Marshall at Penn State

Washington State at Washington

Wyoming at Colorado State

Arkansas State at Memphis

Florida International at South Florida

Western Kentucky at Nevada

UNLV at Hawai'i

Central Michigan at New Mexico

Liberty at James Madison

Sam Houston at Troy

Baylor at Auburn · ABC

Notre Dame at Wisconsin

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.